Quick! What do you think the top-selling game by the end of this year will end up being? If you guessed “The latest goddamned Call of Duty Game” you’d probably be right, though this year there is a rather serious contender for the crown in Grand Theft Auto V. According to Cowen analyst Doug Creutz, who tracked NPD and Amazon pre-order data and the like, these will be the biggest selling games this year.
Each title was given a numerical score based on a number of pattern-based analytical things that are too boring to even mention.
According to Creutz, their data is between 95 and 97 per cent accurate – though admits that the scoring for GTA V is "almost certainly" wrong, because the data’s only been compiled from pre-orders since E3, while GTA V has been available to pre-order since last year. The rest of it should give you a pretty good indicator though. Interesting to note is that people really, really seem to want Watch Dogs; the only new IP in a top 10 sea of sequels.
- 1. Call of Duty: Ghosts (73)
- 2. Watch Dogs (69.6)
- 3. Grand Theft Auto V (58.4)
- 4. Battlefield 4 (54.7)
- 5. Killzone: Shadow Fall (30.3)
- 6. Assassin’s Creed IV (29.2)
- 7. Forza 5 (18.8)
- 8. Diablo III (18.2)
- 9. Batman: Arkham Origins (17.2)
- 10. Dead Rising 3 (15.0)
- 11. Ryse (13.2)
- 12. Saints Row IV (10.1)
- 13. Knack (7.7)
- 14. Gran Turismo 6 (5.0)
- 15. Beyond: Two Souls (3.3)
- 16. Wolfenstein: The New Order (3.2)
- 17. Drive Club (3.0)
- 18. Splinter Cell: Blacklist (2.9)
- 19. The Bureau: Xcom Declassified (0.4)
- 20. South Park: The Stick of Truth (0.2)
It’s also interesting that pre-order numbers for Ghosts aren’t as high as those of the last one, Black Ops 2. Maybe gamers are tiring of the franchise.
What games are you hoping to find between the socks and bottles of cheap aftershave under your Christmas tree this year?
Last Updated: July 30, 2013
Ultimo_Cleric N7
July 30, 2013 at 15:32
The fact that Arkham Origins is ONLY 9th is sad. Very very sad.
DrKiller
July 30, 2013 at 15:45
I think the fact that Diablo is above it is sad 😉
That Super Twit
July 30, 2013 at 20:43
Or the fact that South Park almost beat The Bureau: Xcom.
Umar Kiiroi Senk?
July 30, 2013 at 15:37
Sequels …. Sequels everywhere! ……
Slade Boender
July 30, 2013 at 15:57
you pronounce it “Reboot”
RinceJigglyboobhater
July 30, 2013 at 15:57
I thought you pronounced it gaming crisis? trolol 😉
Lardus-Wolverine
July 30, 2013 at 15:58
Or “imagination lacking rip offs”
Umar Kiiroi Senk?
July 30, 2013 at 16:28
Sorry my greed language is a bit lacking..does “cash cow” sound better?
Slade Boender
July 30, 2013 at 16:45
It was so beautiful that it brought a tear to my eye
Kromas
July 31, 2013 at 11:46
Read your post and immediately had the last bit of the Reboot intro pop into my head 😛
Sir Twakkus
July 30, 2013 at 15:39
I dont do pre-orders anymore. Burnt my fingers too many times.
Games which I would like to pick up is BF4, Watch Dogs, XCom, Beyond Two Souls, Wolfenstein and maybe Splinter Cell.
Edit: and Batman!
John Various
July 30, 2013 at 15:44
I’m with you on that one man.
DarthofZA
July 30, 2013 at 15:45
My Wishlist is Watch Dogs, Grand Theft Auto V, Assassin’s Creed IV, Batman: Arkham Origins, Dead Rising 3, Ryse, Splinter Cell: Blacklist, South Park: The Stick of Truth.
The order above is in the order it was on the list in the OP. Seeing as I won’t get the XBOne within the next year, that leaves 6 games I’m really looking forward to this holidays. Going to be a gaming heavy year.
RinceJigglyboobhater
July 30, 2013 at 15:46
Why is FF13-2,6/5+bigger tits not on this list?!?!?!
Umar Kiiroi Senk?
July 30, 2013 at 15:47
people just aren’t into boobies anymore
RinceJigglyboobhater
July 30, 2013 at 15:49
Wtf?! I thought everyone was, that’s why they are being SMART and moving from a strong (although bland) character to a bouncy bouncy!?
Umar Kiiroi Senk?
July 30, 2013 at 15:50
Nope , wrong move, they should have increased her shoe size…big feet, that’s where it’s at.
RinceJigglyboobhater
July 30, 2013 at 15:53
You may be onto something there… “You have such big feet Lightening” “All the better to stamp the X button with Rince”…
hendrik
July 30, 2013 at 15:47
where is MGS V
That Super Twit
July 30, 2013 at 20:45
Yeah MGS is missing.
Jonathan van de Wouw
July 30, 2013 at 15:54
I’m actually waiting for the Last of Us to go Platinum by then, I’m sorry but I don’t care how good a game is, R700 is madness
John Various
July 30, 2013 at 15:59
I spent less than that on the steam summer sale and got away with six games.
jac7
July 30, 2013 at 15:54
I still have a whole library of exclusives to play. I just picked up the entire Resistance trilogy for 200 bucks. I’m going to need some lotion for my hands…for all the gaming…don’t look at me!
InsanityFlea
July 30, 2013 at 16:15
You guys running out of things to report? Holidays are far away.
ElimiNathan
July 30, 2013 at 16:17
COD Ghosts above GTA V…… Seriously……..Seriously ?……?!
Tbone187
July 30, 2013 at 16:17
Apart from the usual,Splinter Cell is a given for me and after having a break from Assassin’s creed, I’m keen to get back on board with this new rendition…2 souls looks damn interesting but MGSV is at the top I would say…
Slade Boender
July 30, 2013 at 16:46
Arkham and XCOM, maybe even southpark. Though, tbh, none of this really excites me.
Xelus
July 30, 2013 at 17:42
Ey, my wishlist is:
1) New Original IP
2) That won’t happen
3) Sequels
4) …
Lol
Sargon
July 30, 2013 at 17:59
Only game I’ve pre-ordered this year is Total War: Rome II. I know that won’t disappoint. The Total War franchise never does. Wouldn’t mind trying my hand at the Batman games (but missed the Steam sale on the first two like a ninny).
matthurstrsa
July 31, 2013 at 07:49
So glad Southpark made it! And why is Diablo 3 there? Did console people not learn from PC rage?
TiMsTeR1033
July 31, 2013 at 09:09
call of duty ghosts is the most wanted! WTF! bloody americans! and what all because of a dog! could put a dog in any damn game and americans will be “oh my its a dog, is that even techinically possible! with its advanced AI!” lol
Pieter Kruger
July 31, 2013 at 09:39
Why is Drive Club there? Thought is was ftp like Killer Instinct?
Exalted Overlord Geoffrey Tim
July 31, 2013 at 10:42
It will be available retail, as well as on PSN as a lite version, free to PS plus subscribers. Much like Killer Instinct, really.
Pieter Kruger
July 31, 2013 at 10:48
Oh thanks for clearing that up! Can’t believe I’m also getting Diablo 3 on Xbox 360!! Will have to keep me busy till the Xbox One lands(Then I’ll probably get it later on that too!). Well played Blizzard, 1 game, 3 platforms, take my money!!! ????
Jakster
July 31, 2013 at 10:48
Watch Dogs and AC BF are going to be the worst games this holiday. You can trust Ubi on that.
Pieter Kruger
July 31, 2013 at 10:50
Hehe!